Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Wednesday, March 20, 2024

The Golden State Warriors (35-32) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-46) after losing three home games in a row. The Warriors are heavy favorites by 11.5 points in the contest, which starts at 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 20, 2024. The matchup’s point total is set at 220.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds

  • Warriors odds to win: -625
  • Grizzlies odds to win: +455
  • Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
  • Total: 220
  • How to Bet on Warriors vs. Grizzlies

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, March 20, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: ESPN
  • Who Will Win Warriors vs. Grizzlies?

    Warriors and Grizzlies Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Warriors have a 1-2 record against the spread in games they were favored by 11.5 points or more this season.

    The Grizzlies have a 6-3 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 11.5 points or more.

    These two teams average 224.2 points per game combined, 4.2 more than the over/under of 220.

    Golden State and Memphis have seen its opponents average a combined 9.2 more points per game than the point total of 220 set for this outing.

    The Warriors’ average point total in matchups this year is 235.1, 15.1 points higher than the total in this game.

    The average over/under for Memphis’ games this year is 1.7 fewer points than the point total of 220 in this outing.

    So far this season, Golden State has put together a 35-30-2 record against the spread.

    The Grizzlies have a 33-35-1 record against the spread this year.

    Warriors Stats & Insights

    The Warriors’ +101 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 118.3 points per game (seventh in the NBA) while allowing 116.8 per contest (19th in the league).

    The Warriors record 46.6 rebounds per game (second in the league) while conceding 43.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.3 boards per game.

    Golden State connects on 14.8 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 1.7 more than its opponents (13.1).

    The Warriors rank 11th in the NBA with 118.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 16th in the league defensively with 116.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

    So far in 2023-24, the Warriors’ offense has been worse at home, where they average 117.6 points per game, compared to on the road, where they record 119.1 per game. Defensively, they have been slightly worse at home, where they concede 117.4 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to score 116.1 per game.

    Grizzlies Stats & Insights

    The Grizzlies put up 105.9 points per game (30th in league) while giving up 112.4 per contest (10th in NBA). They have a -453 scoring differential and have been outscored by 6.5 points per game.

    Memphis loses the rebound battle by 3.5 boards on average. It collects 42.1 rebounds per game, 25th in the league, while its opponents grab 45.6.

    The Grizzlies knock down 13.3 three-pointers per game (10th in the league) at a 34.8% rate (30th in NBA), compared to the 13.2 their opponents make, shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc.

    The Grizzlies rank 30th in the league averaging 108.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 10th, allowing 114.7 points per 100 possessions.

    Memphis is putting up fewer points at home (103.3 per game) than on the road (108.5).

    Warriors Key Players to Watch

    The active leader in points and assists for the Warriors this season is Stephen Curry, who scores 27.0 points and distributes 4.9 assists per game.

    Kevon Looney contributes with 5.9 boards and 2.0 assists per game in addition to his 4.5 PPG scoring average.

    Curry makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Warriors, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.9 per contest.

    Chris Paul averages 1.3 steals per game, while Trayce Jackson-Davis swats 1.0 shot per contest.

    Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

    Jaren Jackson Jr. has been among the team’s best in both scoring (22.4 points per game) and rebounding (5.5 rebounds per game) while adding 2.3 assists per contest.

    The Grizzlies have gotten 24.4 points, 5.3 assists and 4.5 rebounds out of Desmond Bane this season.

    Bane hits 3.3 treys per game.

    Jackson is a strong defender with 1.1 steals and 1.6 blocks per game.

    Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Warriors (- 11.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (220)

  • Prediction:
    Warriors 119 – Grizzlies 107
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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