Suns vs. Timberwolves Predictions, Best Bets and Odds: NBA Playoffs Game 3 – Friday, April 26, 2024

Apr 26, 2024

The Phoenix Suns are 4.5-point favorites in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Footprint Center on Friday, beginning at 10:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Timberwolves lead the series 2-0. The matchup has an over/under of 207.5.

Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.

How to Bet on Suns vs. Timberwolves

Pick the Timberwolves (-4.5) to Cover

Against the spread, the Suns are 35-45-2 this year.

The Timberwolves have played 82 games, with 40 wins against the spread.

So far this season, the Suns have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 40 times and are 16-23-1 ATS in those contests.

The Timberwolves are 4-4 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.

Take the Points Over (207.5)

Suns games have finished over 207.5 points scored, their current matchup’s point total, 74 times (out of 82) this season.

This year, 67 of the Timberwolves’ 82 total matchups have gone over 207.5 total points scored.

These two teams average 229.2 points per game combined, 21.7 more than the total of 207.5.

The Suns and the Timberwolves have seen their opponents average a combined 12.2 more points per game than the over/under of 207.5 set in this outing.

The average over/under the Suns have had in their games this year is 21.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.

Timberwolves games this year have averaged an over/under of 219.5 points, 12.0 more than the point total in this matchup.

Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (+154)

The Suns have been favorites in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (65%) in those contests.

The Timberwolves are 9-11 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 45% of those games).

This year, the Suns have won 27 of 38 games when listed as at least -185 or better on the moneyline.

In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +154 or longer, the Timberwolves have a 2-5 record (winning only 28.6% of their games).

The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Suns have a 64.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Based on this game’s moneyline, the Timberwolves’ implied win probability is 39.4%.

Top Suns Props

Name	Points O/U	Rebounds O/U	Assists O/U
Kevin Durant	26.5	6.5	3.5
Devin Booker	25.5	4.5	6.5
Bradley Beal	17.5	4.5	5.5
Jusuf Nurkic	9.5	11.5	3.5

Top Timberwolves Props

Name	Points O/U	Rebounds O/U	Assists O/U
Anthony Edwards	24.5	5.5	5.5
Karl-Anthony Towns	16.5	7.5	2.5
Rudy Gobert	13.5	12.5	–
Mike Conley	11.5	2.5	5.5
Jaden McDaniels	10.5	4.5	–

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