Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 11, 2024

The Baltimore Orioles (7-4) will look to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into their final matchup against the Boston Red Sox (7-5) at 7:10 PM ET Thursday from Fenway Park. The Orioles are favored (-134) by oddsmakers.

Grayson Rodriguez will get the ball for Baltimore while Boston will counter with Garrett Whitlock.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds

  • Orioles odds to win: -134
  • Red Sox odds to win: +112
  • Spread: Orioles -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, April 11, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: MASN
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    Who Will Win Orioles vs. Red Sox?

    Orioles and Red Sox Betting Trends

    The Orioles have won six of the 10 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (60%).

    Baltimore has a 4-3 record (winning 57.1% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -134 or shorter.

    The Red Sox have been underdogs in six games this season and won two (33.3%) of those contests.

    Boston is 1-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +112 or more on the moneyline.

    The Orioles have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 11 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in five of those games (5-4-2).

    Games involving the Red Sox have gone over the total set by bookmakers in six of 12 chances this season.

    Orioles Stats & Insights

    The Orioles rank 12th in runs scored with 61, 5.5 per game.

    Baltimore is 25th in MLB play with 10 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

    The Orioles are 17th in the majors with a .235 batting average.

    Baltimore’s batters strike out 7.5 times per game, the fewest strikeouts in MLB.

    The 10 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Orioles pitching staff ranks third in MLB.

    Baltimore has a 2.90 team ERA that ranks fifth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox rank 14th in the majors with 56 total runs scored this season.

    Boston ranks sixth in Major League Baseball with 15 home runs.

    The Red Sox have a team batting average of .235 this season, which ranks 17th among MLB teams.

    Boston ranks 27th in strikeouts per game (10.5) among MLB offenses.

    The Red Sox average 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, first-most in the majors.

    Boston has an ERA of 2.08 as a team, best in baseball.

    Orioles Key Players to Watch

    Rodriguez (2-0) makes the start for the Orioles, his third of the season.

    Gunnar Henderson is batting .233 this season with a team-high two home runs.

    Ryan Mountcastle’s batting average of .302 leads all Baltimore hitters this season.

    Jordan Westburg’s two home runs lead all Baltimore hitters, and he’s slugging .500.

    Adley Rutschman has 12 hits and an OBP of .347 to go with a slugging percentage of .326 this season.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    The Red Sox’s Whitlock will make his third start of the season.

    Tyler O’Neill has racked up a team-high batting average of .343, while leading the Red Sox in home runs (six).

    Jarren Duran is batting .327 with a home run and two walks.

    Rafael Devers is hitting .184 with two doubles, two home runs and seven walks.

    Triston Casas is batting .267 with a double, two home runs and six walks.

    Orioles and Red Sox Injuries

    Orioles: Cionel Pérez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), John Means: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Kyle Bradish: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Felix Bautista: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Red Sox: Rob Refsnyder: 10 Day IL (Toe), Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Story: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Nick Pivetta: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Romy Gonzalez: day-to-day (Wrist)

    Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Orioles 4, Red Sox 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Orioles vs. Red Sox

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