Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 30, 2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (2-0) are the underdogs on the moneyline (-108) in Saturday’s contest versus the Miami Marlins (0-2). First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET on SportsNet PT. The Pirates are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +150 odds.

Miami’s Ryan Weathers and Pittsburgh’s Jared Jones have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Pirates Odds

  • Marlins odds to win: -111
  • Pirates odds to win: -108
  • Spread: Pirates -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
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    Who Will Win Marlins vs. Pirates?

    Marlins and Pirates Betting Trends (2023)

    The Marlins put together a 43-31 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 58.1% of those games).

    When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -111 or shorter last year, Miami finished with a record of 43-30 (58.9%).

    The Pirates were underdogs 129 times last season and won 55, or 42.6%, of those games.

    Pittsburgh had a record of 54-74, a 42.2% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by -108 or more by sportsbooks last season.

    The Marlins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 75 times last season for a 75-84-5 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Pirates went over the total set by sportsbooks in 86 of 162 chances last season.

    Marlins Stats & Insights (2023)

    Last season the Marlins had the No. 26 offense in MLB action scoring 4.1 runs per game (666 total runs).

    Miami ranked 22nd in the majors with 166 total home runs last season.

    The Marlins’ .259 batting average was fourth-best in MLB.

    The team struck out 7.9 times per game, the fifth-fewest mark in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Marlins had a collective 9.3 K/9 last season, which ranked fifth in the majors.

    Miami’s 4.22 team ERA ranked 16th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Pirates Stats & Insights (2023)

    The Pirates scored the 22nd-most runs in the league last season with 692 (4.3 per game).

    Pittsburgh ranked 28th in Major League Baseball with just 159 home runs as a team.

    The Pirates ranked 24th in MLB with a .239 team batting average.

    Pittsburgh ranked 21st in MLB in strikeouts per game at nine whiffs per contest.

    The Pirates averaged the 17th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the big leagues last season.

    Pittsburgh had the 22nd-ranked ERA (4.61) in the majors last season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Weathers makes his first start of the season for the Marlins.

    Luis Arraez finished last season with a .354 batting average while adding 10 home runs and 69 RBI.

    Jake Burger batted .250 last season with a team-high 34 home runs and 80 RBI.

    Josh Bell finished with a .247 average, 22 home runs and 74 RBI last season.

    Bryan De La Cruz collected 149 hits, posted an OBP of .304 and a .411 SLG.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch (2023)

    The Pirates will send out Jones for his first start of the season.

    Bryan Reynolds racked up 84 runs batted in a season ago.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes had a .271 batting average with 134 hits.

    Jack Suwinski hit 26 home runs last season while slugging .454.

    Andrew McCutchen had 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks while batting .256.

    Marlins and Pirates Injuries

    Marlins: Xavier Edwards: 10 Day IL (Foot), Josh Simpson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edward Cabrera: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Eury Pérez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Neck), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Pirates: Yasmani Grandal: 10 Day IL (Foot), Ji-Hwan Bae: 10 Day IL (Hip), Carmen Mlodzinski: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Colin Holderman: 15 Day IL (Illness), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Marlins vs. Pirates

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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