The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-23) will look to Connor Joe, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Milwaukee Brewers (24-16) Monday at American Family Field. The Brewers are -139 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 7:40 PM ET live on BSWI.
Colin Rea gets the starting nod for Milwaukee while Mitch Keller is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.
Brewers vs. Pirates Odds
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Who Will Win Brewers vs. Pirates?
Brewers and Pirates Betting Trends
The Brewers have gone 11-7 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 61.1% of those games).
Milwaukee has gone 3-2 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -139 or shorter (60% winning percentage).
The Pirates have won 12, or 52.2%, of the 23 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
Pittsburgh has a record of 6-3, a 66.7% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +117 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The Brewers have combined with opponents to go over the total 24 times this season for a 24-16-0 record against the over/under.
The Pirates and their opponents have hit the over in 18 of their 41 games with a total this season.
Brewers Stats & Insights
The Brewers score the sixth-most runs in baseball (203 total, 5.1 per game).
Milwaukee averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank sixth in baseball with 48 total home runs.
The Brewers rank sixth in the majors with a .254 batting average.
Milwaukee strikes out 9.1 times per game to rank 24th in baseball.
The Brewers pitching staff ranks 27th in MLB with a collective eight strikeouts per nine innings.
Milwaukee’s 3.93 team ERA ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.
Pirates Stats & Insights
The Pirates have scored 150 runs (just 3.7 per game) this season, which ranks 27th in MLB.
Pittsburgh’s 34 home runs rank 25th in Major League Baseball.
The Pirates rank 26th in MLB with a team batting average of just .222.
Pittsburgh is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking 26th with an average of 9.3 strikeouts per game.
The Pirates average the 18th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.4) in the majors this season.
Pittsburgh has pitched to a 3.86 ERA this season, which ranks 14th in baseball.
Brewers Key Players to Watch
Rea (3-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 38 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his eighth of the season.
William Contreras leads Milwaukee in batting average (.346) and runs batted in (30) this season while also slugging five homers.
Willy Adames is batting .258 with an OBP of .341 and a slugging percentage of .458 this season.
Brice Turang has 40 hits this season and a slash line of .301/.365/.421.
Rhys Hoskins is slugging .470 this season, with a team-best nine homers while driving in 27 runs.
Pirates Key Players to Watch
Keller (3-3) will take the mound for the Pirates, his ninth start of the season.
Joe paces the Pirates with 20 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .292.
Bryan Reynolds is batting .233 with nine doubles, a triple, four home runs and 24 walks.
Oneil Cruz has hit a team-high seven home runs.
Edward Olivares is hitting .224 with two doubles, four home runs and seven walks.
Brewers and Pirates Injuries
Brewers: Joey Wiemer: 10 Day IL (Knee), Taylor Clarke: 15 Day IL (Meniscus), D.L. Hall: 15 Day IL (Knee), Jakob Junis: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Devin Williams: 60 Day IL (Back), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Finger), Wade Miley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), J.B. Bukauskas: 60 Day IL (Lat)
Pirates: Ke’Bryan Hayes: 10 Day IL (Back), Marco Gonzales: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Ryan Borucki: 15 Day IL (Left triceps inflammation), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jason Delay: 60 Day IL (Knee), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)
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